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Financial Panics, the Seasonality of the Nominal Interest Rate, and the Founding of the Fed

Journal Article

The Changing Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates,” with N. Gregory Mankiw

Journal Article

Seasonal Fluctuations and the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Model of Consumption

Journal Article

The Adjustment of Expectations to a Change in Regime: A Study of the Founding of the Federal Reserve

Journal Article

The Worldwide Change in the Behavior of Interest Rates and Prices after 1914

Journal Article

Seasonality, Cost Shocks, and the Production Smoothing Model of Inventories

Journal Article

The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle

Journal Article

Seasonal Fluctuations and the Life Cycle -- Permanent Income Model of Consumption: A Correction

Journal Article

Production, Inventories, and Sales: An Identity that Doesn't Add Up

Journal Article

Reviving the Federal Statistical System: The View from Academia

Journal Article

The Adjustment of Expectations to a Change in Regime: Reply

Journal Article

A New Index of Industrial Production, 1884-1940

Journal Article